Alexander Petrov

British Skripal Narrative Fails the Occam’s Razor Every Step of the Way

Reprinted from blog post  by Rob Slane dated 26 September 2018

Skripals_Military_Grade

 

I’m a bit snowed under with things at the moment, and so haven’t got time to do a big post, but I did want to start a new thread as the old thread is a worn-out thread, and we don’t want a worn out thread, do we?

Firstly, I’d like to thank the UK Defence Secretary, Gavin Williamson, who in a Tweet, which he subsequently deleted, wrote in response to the new Bellingcat Report:

“The true identity of one of the Salisbury suspects has been revealed to be a Russian Colonel. I want to thank all the people who are working so tirelessly on this case.”

Secondly, I was somewhat amused to see a commenter on the previous thread refer to Occam’s Razor in reference to the Salisbury case. Apparently “Occam says that Russia assassinates Russian traitors, ergo Russia attempted to murder the Skripals”.

As a reminder, here is what Occam’s Razor is all about:

“Occam’s razor is the problem-solving principle that the simplest solution tends to be the right one. When presented with competing hypotheses to solve a problem, one should select the solution with the fewest assumptions.”

Now, if Mr Skripal had dropped dead at his doorstep from symptoms consistent with exposure to the deadliest nerve agent on the planet, and if Petrov and Boshirov had actually been seen at the house, then there may have been a case for “Russia murdering Skripal with the world’s deadliest nerve agent” as being Occam’s most plausible explanation (although of course, there are plenty of others who might have done that and indeed could have done it). But of course this didn’t happen. Far from it.

So what would Occam actually have made of the Skripal case? Let’s see:

1.  The official narrative says that Sergei and Yulia Skripal were poisoned at the door handle of his house, yet it also says that they collapsed on a park bench, simultaneously, some 4 hours later.

Occam’s verdict: They were probably poisoned near the bench.

2. The official narrative says that the substance used to poison them was a military grade nerve agent, 5-8 times more toxic than VX, and of “high purity”.

Yet not only did they not die on the spot, but they went into town, fed some ducks, had a meal and a drink, before collapsing on a bench, simultaneously, with symptoms far more in keeping with an incapacitant, such as Kokokol-1, for instance.

Occam’s verdict: They were probably poisoned by an incapacitant, such as Kolokol-1, not a military grade nerve agent.

3. The table they ate at in Zizzi’s was subsequently taken away and incinerated, apparently because it was heavily contaminated with “Novichok”. Yet literally hundreds of people came into contact with items they touched before they got to the table, without becoming contaminated. This includes the three boys who received bread from Mr Skripal’s hands (one of whom ate a piece). It includes the hundreds of people who would have touched the ticket machine in Sainsbury’s car park before it was cordoned off on 12th March (eight days after the incident). It includes the dozens of people who touched the door handles at Zizzi’s and ‘The Mill’ throughout the rest of 4th March and some of 5th March (yes, they touched more door handles than just the one at Chez Skripal that day). And let’s not forget the policemen who entered the house before the door handle theory was conjured up.

Occam’s verdict: Their hands were not contaminated with military grade nerve agent when they touched these things.

4. Official statements for public consumption refer to the substance alleged to have poisoned the Skripals by the nebulous name “Novichok” (which “Novichok” is it Theresa?). Yet in its official statement to the High Court on 20-22nd March, Porton Downreferred to the substance using the much broader phrase, “a nerve agent or related compound” and a “Novichok or related agent.” Why the inability or reluctance to be more specific in this official statement, despite apparent Government certainty?

Occam’s verdict: The folks at Porton Down refused to identify the substance used on 4th March as one of the series A-230-A-234 because it wasn’t.

5. The Metropolitan Police have made their case, and yet their timelines are full of holes. For instance, they have given out incomplete timelines and then conspicuously failed to update them, such as the movements of the Skripals on the morning of 4th March. They have reversed the timeline from what all the early reports and witnesses testified to, that the Skripals visited Zizzi’s first then ‘The Mill’, and they have done so without explaining how all those witnesses could be so wrong. They have left crucial details out of their timelines, such as the duck feed at 13:45. They have been absurdly vague in other timelines, such as the claim that Mr Skripal’s car was seen in London Road, Churchill Way North, and Wilton Road, all at 9:15am. And they have altered timestamps on some images (i.e. the Gatwick entrance images), and added them to others (i.e. most of those of Boshirov and Petrov on 4th March).

Occam’s verdict: There’s a massive cover up going on, and more than a little incompetence.

We could go on for a long time, but let’s leave it with one more:

It is claimed that Sergei Skripal was deliberately poisoned by Ruslan Boshirov and Alexander Petrov, at the door handle of his house on 4th March. Mr Skripal has been out of hospital for over four months now. And yet he has not been seen in public, there have been no public statements from him, and he has not been in contact with his mother, who I understand recently turned 90.

Occam’s verdict: Where is Sergei? He’s either dead, or he can’t be prevailed upon to make a statement backing up the official narrative, because he knows it isn’t true.[1]

Skripal Crumbles – True Story Revealed as Two Russians Talk

As the Skripal case crumbles for the British Government and Intelligence units the two men alleged to be behind the Novichok poisoning case talk openly and nervously about how their visit to the UK has become a life changing moment. In the 25 minute interview with RT Editor-in-Chief Margarita Simonyan they sometimes hesitatingly reveal their real purpose and visit.

On September 5th, British authorities offered images of two Russian citizens, Alexander Petrov and Ruslan Boshirov, allegedly involved in “the attempted murder of Mr Skripal and daughter Yulia”. Along with a quantity of CCTV footage and images taken in both London and Salisbury the British side described them as highly trained agents of Russia’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GRU).

Many people have by now had a chance to watch the full interview, get a glimpse of the two alleged suspects and surely made some knee jerk decisions as to their guilt or innocence. If you have not click and watch full 25 minutes, it will certainly help you comprehend the most likely version of truth behind this enigma we share below. Eat yer heart out Ian Fleming!Screen Shot 2018-09-13 at 21.38.58

In a world beset by trial by media the innocent rarely  get a good shot at having their case heard objectively. Guilty until proven innocent has been a benchmark recently, in spite of protestations to the contrary, of the British judicial system , especially when it comes to anything Russian.

Therefore whatever your assessment may be on this case, en grand, stay with me while I lay out a scenario far better for holding water than the British Government’s pathetically shred bare script they try to persuade us all to believe.

The Government, MI6 and alphabet allies have been trying to make the Russia bête noir the very causus belli they need to execute whatever internationally illegal case they wish to prosecute. So they take the patsy, Sergei Skripal, a useless and spent force for the Russians and also for the British Secret Service except perhaps for using him as a go between with friend and Russia expert Christopher Steele who combined a spurious piece of literature for a US spy snare trap.

What was needed was for Skripal to be ‘disappeared’ and because his daughter Yulia inconveniently appeared on the scene, her also. With trusty Porton Down down the road from Salisbury, Sergei’s city of residence, they ‘dealt’ with him, shunted him off the scene via hospital having been infected by ‘Novichok’, a so called military grade killer chemical agent. The story was enacted perfectly, they got their people to set up a chemical attack incident whereby in a matter of hours they could announce it was “Russia Wot Did It“.

The media, obedient poodles of power, went into overdrive onside. the spin went out, the denials went in, the invective spread over everything Russian including a mass deportation and tit for tat diplomatic circus allies fell in line with. BBC pumped the national audience with the usual propaganda. Anyone who did not absolutely ‘buy’ the story was a traitor, Russian sympathiser, Putin adorist. You can get a  pre-revelation version of the story here.

The fabric this tale was made out of was swiftly derided, pulled apart by those not easily duped and who saw more fantasy Bond than reality. In spite of that the Euro/Atlantic narrative was pumped out. They needed real people suspects that definitively spelled “Russia Dun It“.

That Skripal and daughter got better as the real toxic Novichok was never in the slate became a problem. They made more and more ridiculous storylines  swiftly pulled to pieces. It was not biting as they wished. Then someone realised Salisbury was a truly sought after tourist magnet, at least Stonehenge and Old Sarum were. They then scanned for how many Russians went there. It was apparent there were many who came as tourists and visitors. Then the task was to find one or two Russians who flew in from Moscow. Several were identified, yet they needed someone who happened to be there on the day Skripal was set up.

salisbury cathedral

Salisbury Cathedral

Bingo! After alerting all CCTV from a few days before to the day of the ‘poisoning’ two travellers, now known as Alexander Petrov and Ruslan Boshirov were spotted arriving at Gatwick. From there the faces were then scanned into central London and each place they went were recorded and noted on the intensive CCTV surveillance existing in the UK. They now had their suspects. Although there are no publicly available images of the two being anywhere near the Skripal house, that was mere Intelligence admitting what the services and police confirmed and visual that was National Security protected.

Screen Shot 2018-09-12 at 16.48.06Meanwhile two weekend-away tourists were about to be transformed into Public Enemy No1, due to their poor choice of place and time. That so many, be they British, French, European or Russian take away weekends to Malaga, New York, London or Paris was not the concern. These two were Russian and they could be pasted with all the ‘evidence‘ onto the photofit proof of criminality. So it was that as that became clear as the solution, another couple were roped in to resuscitate the weakening tale. The two were druggies, wasted and worth tempting with overdoses. One died and added an even more emotional tag to the floundering tale. Huge sorrow was crocodile-teared shed. Violins could even be heard.

The time was ripe to announce in September the news the two suspects had been identified. Russia was again hit hard with blame., vitriol and threats of more sanctions.

Trouble is the two lads returned to Russia months before had been easily traced by the excellent and efficient Russian Federation Services and willingly came to offer their real story, frightened to death, as they say, that the whole exposure they were now embroiled in and hiding from was literally a potential death threat hanging over them.

Denial from the British of anything other than their narrative was easy as they thought they had it in the bag. What they never had in the bag was the belief and trust of a public too used by now of watching their government lie and throw BS propaganda at them to aid their foul ends, be it war in the Middle East, distracting from their failures of Brexit or creating a good excuse for the neocon warmongers in DC to throw more bombs, sanctions and lunacy. at every country but their own.

This Highly Likely train of events is probably more believable than the official UK version but dear readers it is as always up to you to cast your decision and act on what you feel is more truthful.

One other thing – be very afraid of going on holiday to Russia as they will as sure as day ad night lock you up, even poison you to get revenge….. oh, perhaps not as the World Cup was such a success even with the diversions offered by a trumped up little island in the North Sea to mess with the huge success the Russians currently bask in.

Best beware of taking a break in Britain even if you are British! For if you watch RT, speak to any Johnny Foreigner or fancy Russian girls you are a Putin apologist, Russian spy or just a pain in the arse to their fairy tale promotion!